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  1. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Convicted racist
  2. Lentern

    Australian Politics

    Today wasn't a complete disaster for Rudd then.
  3. Lentern

    Australian Politics

    Arbib just resigned.
  4. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Oh yeah I know Joe has had gaffes and that he doesn't come across as sharply as Costello, Turnbull, Tanner etc but in a debate carried out by Abbott, Gillard, Swan, Wong and Robb I thought he more or less comes out first.
  5. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    I didn't realize people genuinely thought him slow, I thought that was just white anting from Liberals and wishful propaganda from Labor.
  6. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Hockey is an interesting one. I genuinely believe he is probably the leadership candidate (in either party) with the most widespread public appeal.
  7. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    A few people I know in the liberals have all told me that Abbott is in an unusual position of safety because of a lack of other leadership talent from the dry faction of the coalition. (although less formal the liberals are essentially divided into two factions) After 2007 the wets and dry's...
  8. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    18 months out from an election of course they did, there is time to turn things around under Gillard. 10 months out from an election though if polling is diabolical they will ram that sword and ram it hard. Part of the reason Rudd only had an estimated 20 seats in a significantly larger caucus...
  9. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    You're delusional. A third of caucus won't even vote for against a man who basically set out this week to denigrate them to his own game. There are MP's starring down oblivion in terms of their own re-election, you've got people who take genuine issue with her leadership like Doug Cameron, there...
  10. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    You cannot possibly think Gillard will contest the next election?
  11. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Today's result probably ensures he will contest the next election. Gillard should be safe till about November, by which time it'll be too late for Liberals to switch leaders if the new Labor leder takes the lead.
  12. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    I agree with what Michael Rowland said, Rudd would have needed to get less than three votes for this to stamp out his second bid later in the year. Sure an extra ten or fifteen votes for Rudd would have been better for him but there should be no delusions about his campaign ever having been...
  13. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    I hope whoever leaked the result of the confidential special meeting of caucus are punished accordingly.
  14. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Final prediction, 34-68 Gillard.
  15. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Meticulous planning Tenacity spanning Decades of denial is simply why I'll Be king undisputed respected, saluted and seen for the wonder i am
  16. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    More like An injustice deliciously squared! BE PREPARED!
  17. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Probably. While I wouldn't suggest they had any intention to do it what its also done is allowed Labor to seize control of the news cycle which, if Rudd should by some miracle be re-elected tomorrow, make for a very good few weeks of Labor polling. Above all, these things don't follow strict...
  18. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Possum speculates Labor may have a slight bounce because some people think Rudd might be leading them tomorrow.
  19. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    #Newspoll Gillard: Approval 26 (-6) #auspol #Newspoll 2 Party Preferred: ALP 47 (+2) L/NP 53 (-2) #auspol #Newspoll Primary Votes: ALP 35 (+3) L/NP 45 (-1) #auspol #Newspoll Abbott: Approval 31 (-5) Disapproval 57 (+5) #auspol #Newspoll Preferred PM: Gillard 36 (-1) Abbott 38 (-2) #auspol
  20. Lentern

    Labor Leadership Spill 2012

    Oh please. With the possible exception of Smith and his extraordinary political abilities a third candidate would be fatal.
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