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US Presidential Election Predictions (1 Viewer)

55HS

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Popular Vote - Obama by 6-7%
Electoral College - Obama wins 320+
 

55HS

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21h:32m : Karl Rove Predicts Obama Blowout
Karl Rove, who is widely credited as the mastermind behind President Bush's election victories in 2000 and 2004, predicts that Democratic nominee Barack Obama will win Tuesday's election with 338 electoral votes while Republican John McCain garners 200. The forecast puts Rove at the higher end of predictions for an Obama victory, even with several of the closest states being awarded to McCain. More
 

Trefoil

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I was going to post something similar when I realised the other thread was about betting markets.

Anyway:

My definite prediction
Popular Vote: 6%+
Electoral Vote: 350 or more out of 538
Senate: 58 or more out of 100 (including Sanders and Lieberman)
House: 250 or more out of 450

What I think will happen
Popular Vote: 8%+
Electoral Vote: 370 or more out of 538
Senate: 60 out of 100 (including Sanders and Lieberman)
House: 270 or more out of 450

Surprise upsets for McCain
North Dakota or Georgia

Surprise upsets for Obama
None
 
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55HS

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Georgia, India, Montana, Virginia, North Dakota and even Arizona are possible lol

I'm going to say he loses Arizona.
 

KarmaKitten

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I don't think McCain will lose Arizona.

I will be shocked if Obama wins Pennsylvania and Missouri. Come on Missouri, vote Obama.
 

Captin gay

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You know the day destroys the night
Night divides the day
Try to run
Try to hide
Break on through to the other side
 

Trefoil

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Trefoil said:
My definite prediction
Popular Vote: 6%+
Electoral Vote: 350 or more out of 538
Senate: 58 or more out of 100 (including Sanders and Lieberman)
House: 250 or more out of 435

What I think will happen
Popular Vote: 8%+
Electoral Vote: 370 or more out of 538
Senate: 60 out of 100 (including Sanders and Lieberman)
House: 270 or more out of 435
How it turned out:
Popular vote margin: 6.6%
Electoral vote: 365
Senate: 58 so far, with 59 highly likely, and 60 about a 1 in 3 chance
House: 256 so far, with about 260 probable.

It looks like the Democrats will be able to invoke Cloture fairly often.
 

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