You are very smart. This is what I was going to suggest, I'm glad I don't have to explain t.iI don't pretend to be a good trader, nor do I have the time / interest in looking into companies. I plan on index investing; why should I put my money into mutual funds when they don't beat index funds?
yes3. If you are really trying to seek similar returns to the equities market, then just invest in an index linked fund/instrument.
I bought bitcoin in 2011 also. I put a few hundred bucks into bitcoin and the most it ever peaked at in aud valuation was $20000 :-(What's so unbelievable about hearing about Bitcoin in 2011, putting a few hundred bucks into it, and now having a nice sum? It's rare, but in no way extraordinarily. Quite boring actually.
I now have no bitcoin, I sold at a lot more than the current price because I no longer have faith in the value of it at the current price, and due to unresolved technical problems with the protocol. You must have had much more fortunate timing than me to turn a few hundred into over 10 times the amount I did.
I seriously wouldn't worry about being taxed if I were you, I would gladly take the tax hit and get a lot of $aud ASAP. I would worry a lot more about the value of bitcoin dropping to zero.* minimize my taxable income for the upcoming 2 years by minimizing the amount of bitcoins I sell, and instead protecting myself against drops in the price of bitcoin with options. However, the bitcoin options market is still in its infancy, and I'm unsure if there will be enough liquidity
Anyway, if I stay in the 19% bracket (by selling very few btc and hence not triggering cgt events):
Holding onto your bitcoin to avoid tax would be a great strategy, if bitcoin had a stable value year to year. Bitcoin has dropped a lot in the past few months. By 2016 it could be worth 10% or less of the current price. You can't reliably maximise returns by minimising tax when the value is going to be so volatile. The fluctuation in bitcoin value year to year is likely to be much greater than the extra tax you would pay.
Of course it could go up again. But wealth is subject to diminishing returns. $400k is not twice as life changing to a 16 year old, as $200k. A bird in the hand is definitely worth more than 2 in the bush in this case.
Think of it this way - if you had $100k aud, would you be putting it in bitcoin right now? If not, you shouldn't have that money in bitcoin, the fact that it's an old investment, and you got that increase in capital gains without effort is irrelevant. You should evaluate your investment as though you were making it new today
What if you had to work for thousands of hours to get that $100k (which is going to next 5-10 years of your life). Would you feel differently about putting your own hard earned into bitcoin?
Would you put 50% of your paycheck for the next 5 years into bitcoin?
You need to take a substantial profit - you're planning on $200k, which is excellent. I don't know how much bitcoin you have remaining, but I'd make it a lot less than $100k value, unless you already have a few hundred thousand in equities or paid off investment property and can afford to burn money. Keep maybe 10% of your bitcoin for fun as a speculative investment, get value for the rest.
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