Re: External Stability & Economic Growth
hedkandi9 said:
hey people i need sum help this is my question i need to no the current causes of australia's external instability and i need 2 no how the CAD limits economic growth .......well any help wud b supa appreciated hehehe thanx
What are the causes of external instability?
1. High foreign debt due to:
-relatively low interest rates overseas
-the debt cycle (as interest payments accumulate as are foreign funds needed to pay off foreign debt)
-budget deficits by state/federal governments in the past
Foreign debt is around half a trillion at the moment, I think.
2. High CAD due to:
-high imports (due to economic growth, strong $A, higher real wages etc)
- the debt cycle
-companies operating in Australia are remitting profits to overseas owners and hence enlargening the size of the net incomes deficit.
-interest rates going up overseas and hence increasing debt and liabilities.
These are just the most important ones that I can think of.
How does CAD restrain eco. growth?
Foreign investors and lenders may become weary about Australia's inability to pay off debt and may either charge higher interest rates (which worsen debt levels) or refuse to invest (hence there'll be less investment and less eco. growth)
Worst case scenario would be capital flight where there is a 'flight' of wealth out of the country.
See here:-
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_flight