My predictions, top 5 essays in order based on current events and past essays:
1. labour market policy (not asked since 2007)
2. environment essay (carbon tax effects showing now, also no environment question in SA for ages)
3. international orgs and trade bloc agreements (catholic paper + not been asked in essay since 2008 OR short answer for ages)
4. exchange rates (current issue: appreciation effects on economy, effects not asked since 2008)
5. macro policy (catholic paper + very regularly in papers but not in short answer often, just generally a good pick)
however, i kind of doubt that the environment essay will be by itself. It could be mixed into a fiscal essay with other issues, good to prep a whole essay though.
anyway, last year's paper was really easy in terms of essay questions by giving lots of scope in providing 2 BOP essays and also a really broad policy question. So because of that, they will probs make it a bit harder and throw in a labour market and environment question which ppl generally dont like.
Case study isn't gonna happen, but there will probably be a 4 or 5 marker in the SA section.
lol could be way off, just prep for EVERYTHING