atar estimate againnnnn please (1 Viewer)

[Morgan1234pooki]

school rank: 110ish
course marks/ranks:
advanced english: 1/27 94%
english extension 1: 1/4 85%
english extension 2: 1/1 94%
ancient history: 1/17 92%
legal studies: 1/17 96%
history extension: 1/4 92%
economics: 2/11 84%

trial markkkks:
advanced english: 90%
english extension 1: 80%
ancient history: 93%
legal studies: 97%
history extension: 88%
economics: 80%

 

[enoilgam]

I reakon 97.5+ (if I had to be specific, I'd say low 99). As your coming first in most of your subjects, your ATAR will be determined by your performance on the externals.

 

[Morgan1234pooki]

omg i was going for over 90!!!! so i will get definitely get over 90 you think?

 

[enoilgam]

omg i was going for over 90!!!! so i will get definitely get over 90 you think?

With those ranks, I'd be extremely shocked if you didnt. However, ATAR estimates are unreliable as they are often inaccurate. Also, with the HSC, the externals are worth 50% so anything can happen. In saying that, I'm fairly confident that you will get above 95.

Edit: When I said low 99's, thats a really rough guess, so look more at the 97.5+ part of my estimate.

 

[Morgan1234pooki]

wow thank you, i am extremely happy with this

 

[Morgan1234pooki]

if i do insanely well in the externals, 99 and above is a possibility?
mind you, i guess if that was easy, more people would ace the externals

 

[enoilgam]

if i do insanely well in the externals, 99 and above is a possibility?

With a strong external performance, 99+ is a distinct possibility. Top 2 or 3 ATAR's at an average sized school ranked around 100-110 are usually in the 99's. You look like you would probably be in the top 3 of your cohort.

 

[Morgan1234pooki]

yay, thank you!! very happy

 

[enoilgam]

yay, thank you!! very happy

Just dont become complacent. Just to maintain your performance in the externals can take a significant amount of work.

 

[Morgan1234pooki]

i wont. ive worked really, really hard all year so i dont plan on giving it all away!

 

[Morgan1234pooki]

btw how many people in the state get 99 and above?

 

[enoilgam]

btw how many people in the state get 99 and above?

About 2000 I think (not 100% sure on this figure, maybe someone could confirm)

 

[smartalec]

99.0
99.05
99.10
99.15
99.20
99.25
99.30
99.35
99.4
99.45
99.5
99.55
99.6
99.65
99.7
99.75
99.8
99.85
99.9
99.95

APROX 50 people per 0.5 therefore, 50 x 20 = 1000?

 

[Omnipotence]

Your ATAR is highly dependent on performance in externals.

 

[Shadowdude]

Your ATAR is highly dependent on performance in externals.

^ That.

So... 98+ or so.